Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000117 0.000124 0.000132 0.000140 0.000150 0.000160
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000110 0.000120 0.000132 0.000146 0.000162 0.000183
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000103 0.000115 0.000130 0.000148 0.000171 0.000200
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000099 0.000113 0.000131 0.000153 0.000182 0.000222
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000097 0.000113 0.000133 0.000160 0.000195 0.000248
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000093 0.000109 0.000130 0.000159 0.000199 0.000261
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126 0.000156 0.000198 0.000266
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000084 0.000100 0.000122 0.000154 0.000199 0.000275
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000079 0.000095 0.000117 0.000148 0.000194 0.000273
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000078 0.000094 0.000118 0.000152 0.000203 0.000294
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000078 0.000095 0.000120 0.000157 0.000215 0.000324
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000077 0.000095 0.000121 0.000161 0.000226 0.000353
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095 0.000124 0.000168 0.000243 0.000400
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000075 0.000094 0.000122 0.000169 0.000249 0.000426
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000073 0.000091 0.000121 0.000169 0.000253 0.000449
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000071 0.000091 0.000121 0.000172 0.000265 0.000493
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000071 0.000091 0.000123 0.000178 0.000283 0.000558
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000069 0.000089 0.000121 0.000176 0.000284 0.000578
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000066 0.000085 0.000117 0.000171 0.000278 0.000577
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000064 0.000083 0.000114 0.000168 0.000276 0.000588
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000161 0.000265 0.000565
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000164 0.000277 0.000622
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000061 0.000080 0.000111 0.000170 0.000294 0.000709